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Caersws FC vs Denbigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caersws FC host Denbigh in the Cymru North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Caersws FC at 2 goals for, 1.41 against; Denbigh at 1.74 for, 2.09 against. Past meetings favor Denbigh slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 6:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.44) point toward Caersws FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Caersws FC
35%
Draws
30%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Denbigh haven't matched Caersws FC's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Caersws FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 16%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Denbigh
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Denbigh
6:0
Jul 25, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Caersws FC
3:2
Mar 15, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Denbigh
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Caersws FC
2:0
Apr 1, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Denbigh
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 75 / 100
Denbigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Denbigh has conceded goals in 91% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Caersws FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Denbigh
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
31 Oct
Caersws FC
1 : 1
Bangor 1876
24 Oct
Caersws FC
2 : 2
Guilsfield
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 7

Denbigh

(Away)
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
16 Oct
Denbigh
0 : 2
Bangor 1876
10 Oct
Guilsfield
0 : 2
Denbigh
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
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