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Caersws FC vs Guilsfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Francis-Jones C.
62' Event
Cook J.
Penalty Missed
73' Event
Harries A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Caersws FC
35%
Draws
27%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Caersws FC have won more games recently than Guilsfield.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 16%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Guilsfield
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Guilsfield
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Caersws FC
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Guilsfield
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Guilsfield
5:3
Jul 27, 2024 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Caersws FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Francis-Jones C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harries A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilsley D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 30 / 100
Guilsfield 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guilsfield conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Caersws FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Guilsfield
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caersws FC

(Home)
31 Oct
Caersws FC
1 : 1
Bangor 1876
24 Oct
Caersws FC
2 : 2
Guilsfield
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

Guilsfield

(Away)
31 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Porthmadog
24 Oct
Caersws FC
2 : 2
Guilsfield
17 Oct
Coedpoeth
4 : 3
Guilsfield
10 Oct
Guilsfield
0 : 2
Denbigh
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
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