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Caersws FC vs Rhyl

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jones A.

AI Match Summary

Caersws FC host Rhyl in the Cymru North 2025/2026. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Caersws FC have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Rhyl's 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Caersws FC have won 2 to Rhyl's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.50) point toward Rhyl. Rhyl in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Caersws FC
6%
Draws
4%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rhyl has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Caersws FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Caersws FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru North 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 16%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caersws FC Rhyl
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Rhyl
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Caersws FC
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Cup
Rhyl vs Caersws FC
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 FA Cup
Caersws FC vs Rhyl
7:4
Nov 10, 2018 FA Cup
Rhyl vs Caersws FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rhyl Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caersws FC 84 / 100
Rhyl 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caersws FC Rhyl

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caersws FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Rhyl let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Caersws FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rhyl lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caersws FC VS Rhyl
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423