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Caete vs Santa Rosa

Brazil Brazil

Copa Grao Para 2024
Sun, Mar 24, 2024
0 - 1
06:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Solano
1' Event
Fidelis
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Laercio C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Santa Rosa in this Copa Grao Para 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caete
20%
Draws
40%
Santa Rosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Rosa lately — more wins on the board than Caete.
  • Win probability leans Caete's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Santa Rosa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Rosa, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Caete Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caete Santa Rosa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.8 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Paraense
Caete vs Santa Rosa
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 Copa Grao Para
Caete vs Santa Rosa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caete 42 / 100
Santa Rosa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caete Santa Rosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Santa Rosa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Caete found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Caete VS Santa Rosa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caete

(Home)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 6

Santa Rosa

(Away)
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Santa Rosa
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2
Paysandu PA
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tuna Luso -
TBD -
Caete 0
Santa Rosa 1
Aguia De Maraba -
TBD -
Sao Francisco 6
Bragantino PA 4
Semi-finals
Tuna Luso 1
Santa Rosa 0
Aguia De Maraba 0
Sao Francisco 1
Final
Tuna Luso 2
Sao Francisco 1