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Caete vs Santa Rosa

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Matheuzinho

AI Match Summary

Santa Rosa in this Paraense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Rosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caete
20%
Draws
40%
Santa Rosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Caete haven't matched Santa Rosa's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Caete taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Caete Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caete Santa Rosa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Paraense
Caete vs Santa Rosa
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 Copa Grao Para
Caete vs Santa Rosa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caete Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Santa Rosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheuzinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caete 42 / 100
Santa Rosa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caete Santa Rosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Santa Rosa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Caete scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Caete VS Santa Rosa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caete

(Home)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
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Santa Rosa

(Away)
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Santa Rosa
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2
Paysandu PA
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
3 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
4 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
5 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
6 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
7 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
8 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
9 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
10 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
11 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
12 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Cameta 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
3 Sao Francisco 8 2 0 6 9:16 6
4 Caete 8 1 0 7 5:12 3
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 2 1 17:4 17
2 Bragantino PA 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
3 Castanhal 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
4 Independente 8 1 3 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
2 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
3 Capitao Poco 8 2 5 1 9:9 11
4 Santa Rosa 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)