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Cagliari vs Inter

Italy Italy

Serie A Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cagliari host Inter in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Cagliari have averaged 1 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Inter's 3 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Inter slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.06) point toward Inter. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cagliari
33%
Draws
40%
Inter
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Inter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter lately — more wins on the board than Cagliari.
  • Model gives Inter a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Inter
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:3
Apr 14, 2024 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 26 / 100
Inter 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Inter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Cagliari scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Cagliari has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Inter let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Inter
1 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
17 May
Cagliari
2 : 1
Torino
09 May
Cagliari
0 : 2
Udinese
03 May
Bologna
0 : 0
Cagliari
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Inter

(Away)
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Inter
1 : 1
Verona
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2
Inter
09 May
Lazio
0 : 3
Inter
03 May
Inter
2 : 0
Parma
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)