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Cagliari vs Inter - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Unipol Domus, Cagliari
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Match Events

9' Event
Calhanoglu H.
Assist: Barella N.
14'
Akanji M.
56'
Deiola A.

AI Match Summary

Inter in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cagliari
20%
Draws
40%
Inter
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter lately — more wins on the board than Cagliari.
  • Model gives Inter a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 11%
Inter Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Inter
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.86 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Inter Compare

Top Goalscorer Calhanoglu H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 22 / 100
Inter 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Inter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cagliari scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Inter let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Cagliari went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Inter
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
Page 1 of 6

Inter

(Away)
17 Oct
Bologna
1 : 3
Inter
13 Oct
Inter
3 : 4
Club Brugge
10 Oct
Inter
3 : 0
Parma
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 7 6 1 0 21:9 19
2 Lazio 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
3 AS Roma 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
4 AC Milan 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
5 Como 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
7 Cagliari 7 4 1 2 6:7 13
8 Juventus 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
9 Napoli 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
10 Torino 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
11 Atalanta 7 3 0 4 10:11 9
12 Lecce 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
13 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
14 Monza 7 2 1 4 13:15 7
15 Bologna 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
16 Udinese 7 1 1 5 9:16 4
17 Genoa 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
18 Fiorentina 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
19 Parma 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Venezia 7 1 0 6 6:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)