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Cagliari U19 vs AC Milan U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nsiala C.
20' Event
Sia D.
38'
Sala E.

AI Match Summary

AC Milan U19 in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Milan U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cagliari U19
20%
Draws
23%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cagliari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cagliari U19 lately — more wins on the board than AC Milan U19.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Cagliari U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Cagliari U19 Clean Sheet 12%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Primavera 1
Cagliari U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:3
Nov 25, 2023 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Cagliari U19
2:4
Mar 5, 2023 Primavera 1
Cagliari U19 vs AC Milan U19
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Cagliari U19
2:0
Apr 9, 2022 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Cagliari U19
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Konate I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsiala C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U19 38 / 100
AC Milan U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U19 AC Milan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan U19 let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Cagliari U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Cagliari U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U19 VS AC Milan U19
1.67 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U19

(Home)
19 Jul
Cagliari
3 : 0
Cagliari U19
19 May
Verona U19
3 : 5
Cagliari U19
11 May
Cagliari U19
2 : 1
Genoa U19
05 May
Fiorentina U19
1 : 2
Cagliari U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
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AC Milan U19

(Away)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)