Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari U20 vs Bologna U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Negri S.
29' Event
Sugamele A.
36' Event
Toroc A.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 game between Cagliari U20 and Bologna U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bologna U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Cagliari U20
15%
Draws
48%
Bologna U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bologna U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bologna U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cagliari U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cagliari U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Bologna U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U20 Bologna U20
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Bologna U20
1:3
May 10, 2026 Primavera 1
Bologna U20 vs Cagliari U20
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Bologna U20
0:1
May 3, 2025 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Bologna U20
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Primavera 1
Bologna U20 vs Cagliari U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sugamele A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bologna U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Negri S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toroc A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U20 36 / 100
Bologna U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U20 Bologna U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cagliari U20's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bologna U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cagliari U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U20 VS Bologna U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U20

(Home)
20 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 2
Cagliari U20
13 Sept
Inter U20
6 : 1
Cagliari U20
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1
Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Cagliari U20
Page 1 of 6

Bologna U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Como U20
1 : 2
Bologna U20
12 Sept
Sassuolo U20
5 : 3
Bologna U20
04 Sept
Bologna U20
0 : 3
Inter U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Bologna U20
4 : 2
Atalanta U20
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U20 5 4 1 0 15:5 13
2 Parma U20 5 3 2 0 11:5 11
3 AS Roma U20 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
4 Empoli U20 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
5 Lazio U20 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
6 Bologna U20 5 3 0 2 12:12 9
7 Genoa U20 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
8 Verona U20 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 AC Milan U20 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
10 Cagliari U20 5 2 1 2 8:12 7
11 Cesena U20 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Como U20 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Torino U20 5 1 2 2 12:13 5
14 Lecce U20 5 0 4 1 8:9 4
15 Monza U20 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Sassuolo U20 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Albinoleffe U20 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
18 Fiorentina U20 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
19 Juventus U20 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
20 Atalanta U20 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2027/2028 (Main)