Sport Picks
Cagliari U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Primavera 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
40'
40'
Malfitano R.
46'
46'
Sub
Liteta J. In: Russo A.
Out: Liteta J.
53'
53'
Sub
Skovgaard B. In: Onyemachi D.
Out: Skovgaard B.
AI Match Summary
Cagliari U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cagliari U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Cagliari U20 at 1.6 per game, Lecce U20 at 1.4.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cagliari U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cagliari U20 | Lecce U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Lecce U20
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Cagliari U20
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Lecce U20
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Cagliari U20
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cagliari U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Malfitano R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sugamele A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Lecce U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cagliari U20 32 / 100
Lecce U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cagliari U20 Lecce U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cagliari U20's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Lecce U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Cagliari U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cagliari U20 VS Lecce U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cagliari U20
(Home) 20 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 2 Cagliari U20
13 Sept
Inter U20
6 : 1 Cagliari U20
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1 Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3 Bologna U20
23 Aug
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2 Cagliari U20
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1 Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3 Bologna U20
17 May
Cagliari U20
1 : 1 Napoli U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0 Lecce U20
18 Apr
Cagliari U20
2 : 0 Cesena U20
Page 1 of 3
Lecce U20
(Away) 19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1 Fiorentina U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2 Lecce U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1 AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Torino U20
3 : 3 Lecce U20
22 Aug
Lecce U20
1 : 2 Lazio U20
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2 Lecce U20
30 Aug
Torino U20
3 : 3 Lecce U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Lecce U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0 Lecce U20
19 Apr
Inter U20
1 : 0 Lecce U20
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiorentina U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 70:48 | 68 |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 3 | Cesena U20 | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 70:52 | 67 |
| 4 | AS Roma U20 | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 59:35 | 63 |
| 5 | Bologna U20 | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:40 | 62 |
| 6 | Inter U20 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 70:61 | 59 |
| 7 | Atalanta U20 | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 54:47 | 57 |
| 8 | Juventus U20 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Lecce U20 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Genoa U20 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 11 | AC Milan U20 | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 51:49 | 49 |
| 12 | Verona U20 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55:61 | 48 |
| 13 | Torino U20 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 50:50 | 47 |
| 14 | Monza U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 37:45 | 47 |
| 15 | Lazio U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:51 | 47 |
| 16 | Sassuolo U20 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:58 | 44 |
| 17 | Napoli U20 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Cagliari U20 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 49:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Frosinone U20 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 47:76 | 35 |
| 20 | Cremonese U20 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 31:64 | 24 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)
