Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari U20 vs Monza U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Bagnaschi A.
38' Event
Mendy P.
46'
Sub
Ballabio N. In: Fardin G.
Out: Ballabio N.

AI Match Summary

Cagliari U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cagliari U20
15%
Draws
26%
Monza U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cagliari U20 lately — more wins on the board than Monza U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cagliari U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U20 Monza U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Monza U20
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Cagliari U20
2:0
Jan 22, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Cagliari U20
2:1
Aug 23, 2024 Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 vs Monza U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cagliari U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monza U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U20 41 / 100
Monza U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U20 Monza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cagliari U20 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Monza U20 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cagliari U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U20 VS Monza U20
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U20

(Home)
13 Sept
Inter U20
6 : 1
Cagliari U20
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1
Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Cagliari U20
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
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Monza U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 3
Inter U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)