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Cagliari U20 vs Novara U20

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Primavera - Group A 2011/2012
Cagliari U20 Logo

Cagliari U20

1 - 1
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Novara U20 Logo

Novara U20

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2011/2012 game between Cagliari U20 and Novara U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cagliari U20
15%
Draws
21%
Novara U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cagliari U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Cagliari U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cagliari U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Novara U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari U20 Novara U20
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.58 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Cagliari U20 vs Novara U20
1:0
Oct 27, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Novara U20 vs Cagliari U20
2:1
Feb 25, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Novara U20 vs Cagliari U20
3:1
Oct 15, 2011 Primavera - Group A
Cagliari U20 vs Novara U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari U20 66 / 100
Novara U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari U20 Novara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cagliari U20's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Novara U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Cagliari U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari U20 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari U20

(Home)
13 Sept
Inter U20
6 : 1
Cagliari U20
05 Sept
Cagliari U20
2 : 1
Sassuolo U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Albinoleffe U20
0 : 2
Cagliari U20
23 May
Napoli U20
0 : 3
Cagliari U20
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Novara U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Novara U20
0 : 2
Parma U20
13 Apr
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Novara U20
06 Apr
Novara U20
1 : 2
Juventus U20
03 Apr
Fiorentina U20
2 : 1
Novara U20
16 Mar
Novara U20
3 : 2
Grosseto U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 17 4 5 67:31 55
2 Torino U20 26 14 7 5 38:23 49
3 Fiorentina U20 26 13 9 4 45:23 48
4 Genoa U20 26 11 10 5 39:29 43
5 Sampdoria U20 26 11 8 7 44:34 41
6 Livorno U20 26 11 7 8 46:42 40
7 Empoli U20 26 12 4 10 35:39 40
8 Novara U20 26 8 11 7 44:35 35
9 Parma U20 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Cagliari U20 26 7 8 11 33:46 29
11 Sassuolo U20 26 6 10 10 36:43 28
12 Siena U20 26 4 10 12 34:38 22
13 Modena U20 26 4 7 15 21:45 19
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 3 20 18:67 12
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)