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Cagliari vs Arezzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Righetti S.
23' Event
Deiola A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Mendy P. In: Borrelli G.
Out: Mendy P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cagliari
15%
Draws
26%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cagliari have won more games recently than Arezzo.
  • Model gives Cagliari a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Cagliari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cagliari, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Arezzo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.36
Goals Conceded 1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia
Cagliari vs Arezzo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 95 / 100
Arezzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cagliari found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Arezzo conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cagliari stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Arezzo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Arezzo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1
Inter
Page 1 of 6

Arezzo

(Away)
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
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Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
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Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Lazio -
TBD -
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Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
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Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
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Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
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Avellino -
TBD -
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AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
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Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
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Parma -
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Como -
AS Roma -
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Cagliari -
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Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
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Entella -
Juventus -
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Sassuolo -
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Cesena -
Frosinone -
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Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
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Padova -
Venezia -
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Modena -
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Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
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Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
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Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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