Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cagliari vs Arezzo

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Righetti S.
23' Event
Deiola A.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Mendy P. In: Borrelli G.
Out: Mendy P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cagliari
30%
Draws
19%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arezzo have won more games recently than Cagliari.
  • Model gives Cagliari a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Arezzo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cagliari, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Arezzo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia
Cagliari vs Arezzo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 77 / 100
Arezzo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Cagliari remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cagliari found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Arezzo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arezzo let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Arezzo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
Page 1 of 6

Arezzo

(Away)
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0
Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
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Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova -
Palermo -
Torino -
Monza -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Parma -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari -
Verona -
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
Frosinone -
Udinese -
Venezia -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
TBD -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -