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Cagliari vs Bologna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cagliari host Bologna in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Cagliari at 1 goals for, 1.04 against; Bologna at 1.16 for, 1.53 against. Head-to-head, Cagliari have won 1 to Bologna's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.63, favoring Cagliari. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cagliari
30%
Draws
23%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bologna's 1.16 goals per match outpaces what Cagliari have produced (1).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cagliari taking it.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 68%
Bologna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Bologna
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs Cagliari
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Bologna
0:2
Mar 2, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Cagliari
2:1
Oct 29, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Bologna
0:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Bologna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 59 / 100
Bologna 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Cagliari's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cagliari has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Bologna
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
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Bologna

(Away)
11 Oct
Lecce
1 : 2
Bologna
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
6 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
8 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
9 Frosinone 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)