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Cagliari vs Frosinone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cagliari host Frosinone in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cagliari at 0.9 goals for, 1.28 against; Frosinone at 2.07 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Cagliari have won 2 to Frosinone's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2025, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.75) point toward Frosinone. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cagliari
20%
Draws
57%
Frosinone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cagliari haven't matched Frosinone's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Frosinone taking it.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 12%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Frosinone
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.9 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Italia
Cagliari vs Frosinone
4:1
Jan 21, 2024 Serie A
Frosinone vs Cagliari
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 Serie A
Cagliari vs Frosinone
4:3
Apr 15, 2023 Serie B
Cagliari vs Frosinone
0:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie B
Frosinone vs Cagliari
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 19 / 100
Frosinone 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Frosinone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frosinone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cagliari scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Frosinone let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Cagliari stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Frosinone
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
Page 1 of 6

Frosinone

(Away)
25 Oct
Atalanta
4 : 4
Frosinone
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
10 Oct
Napoli
3 : 0
Frosinone
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
2 Inter 8 7 1 0 23:10 22
3 AS Roma 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
4 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 AC Milan 8 5 3 0 16:7 18
6 Frosinone 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
7 Juventus 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
8 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
9 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
10 Napoli 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
11 Atalanta 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Lecce 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
13 Bologna 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
15 Monza 8 2 1 5 15:18 7
16 Genoa 8 2 1 5 6:13 7
17 Udinese 8 1 1 6 9:18 4
18 Fiorentina 8 1 1 6 9:19 4
19 Parma 8 1 1 6 5:15 4
20 Venezia 8 1 0 7 6:17 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)