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Cagliari vs Juventus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cagliari host Juventus in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Juventus have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Cagliari have conceded 1.07 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Juventus slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.13) back Juventus to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cagliari
15%
Draws
45%
Juventus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Juventus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juventus are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 21%
Juventus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cagliari Juventus
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Juventus
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Serie A
Juventus vs Cagliari
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Juventus
0:1
Dec 17, 2024 Coppa Italia
Juventus vs Cagliari
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie A
Juventus vs Cagliari
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cagliari 24 / 100
Juventus 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cagliari Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cagliari scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cagliari has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Juventus let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cagliari VS Juventus
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cagliari

(Home)
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1
Inter
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Juventus

(Away)
20 Sept
Juventus
2 : 0
Atalanta
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)