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Caicara vs Comercial PI Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 2024
Caicara Logo

Caicara

0 - 1
FT
Comercial PI Logo

Comercial PI

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Lenilson
90'
Tico Baiano
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI in this Piauiense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caicara
15%
Draws
85%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Comercial PI have won more games recently than Caicara.
  • Comercial PI are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Piauiense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Comercial PI here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Caicara Clean Sheet 12%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caicara Comercial PI
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Comercial PI
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Comercial PI
0:2
Oct 3, 2024 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Caicara
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Comercial PI
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caicara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Comercial PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Lenilson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caicara 10 / 100
Comercial PI 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caicara Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Caicara's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Difficult form: Comercial PI registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caicara VS Comercial PI
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caicara

(Home)
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
Page 1 of 4

Comercial PI

(Away)
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 8 6 1 1 12:2 19
2 Piaui 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
3 Comercial PI 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
4 Caicara 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
5 Flamengo PI 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2024 (Play Offs)