Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caicara vs Comercial PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caicara host Comercial PI in the Piauiense 2. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Caicara at 0.82 goals for, 1.82 against; Comercial PI at 0.97 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Comercial PI slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.63) point toward Comercial PI. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caicara
15%
Draws
85%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Comercial PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Comercial PI taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Comercial PI have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Caicara Clean Sheet 14%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caicara Comercial PI
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.82 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Comercial PI
0:2
Oct 3, 2024 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Caicara
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Comercial PI
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caicara 10 / 100
Comercial PI 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caicara Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Caicara's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Comercial PI has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caicara VS Comercial PI
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caicara

(Home)
20 Sept
Flamengo PI
4 : 1
Caicara
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
18 Oct
TEC
2 : 1
Caicara
Page 1 of 4

Comercial PI

(Away)
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 4 3 1 0 13:5 10
2 Flamengo PI 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Comercial PI 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Julho Esporte 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
5 River-PI 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
6 Caicara 4 0 0 4 3:15 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)