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Caicara vs River-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
43'
Jose Moura do Vale T.
45'

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2 game between Caicara and River-PI finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Caicara
20%
Draws
70%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and River-PI come out ahead of Caicara on wins alone.
  • Model gives River-PI a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Caicara Clean Sheet 23%
River-PI Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caicara River-PI
Matches Played 15 39
Wins 3 16
Draws 3 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs River-PI
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caicara Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Leandro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Maycon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caicara 24 / 100
River-PI 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caicara River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River-PI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: River-PI conceded in 74% of 39 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Caicara scored in 47% of their last 15 outings.

Caicara has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caicara VS River-PI
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caicara

(Home)
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
18 Oct
TEC
2 : 1
Caicara
11 Oct
Caicara
0 : 0
Flamengo PI
05 Oct
Caicara
0 : 2
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 3

River-PI

(Away)
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Julho Esporte 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Comercial PI 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Flamengo PI 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 River-PI 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Caicara 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)