Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cailungo vs SP Domagnano

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ambrosini A.
Assist: Arlotti S.
26' Event
Persichilli L.
55' Event
Valentini M.
Assist: Guglielmi F.

AI Match Summary

SP Domagnano in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Domagnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cailungo
15%
Draws
64%
SP Domagnano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SP Domagnano have won more games recently than Cailungo.
  • SP Domagnano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SP Domagnano have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo SP Domagnano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Domagnano
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Domagnano
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Cailungo
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Domagnano
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Cailungo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Persichilli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambrosini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valentini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 10 / 100
SP Domagnano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo SP Domagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cailungo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

SP Domagnano has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Cailungo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS SP Domagnano
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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SP Domagnano

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)