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Cailungo vs Tre Penne

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ceccaroli L.
51' Event
Carrer A.
Assist: Scarcella D.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between Cailungo and Tre Penne finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Penne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Cailungo
15%
Draws
80%
Tre Penne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tre Penne come out ahead of Cailungo on wins alone.
  • Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tre Penne have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cailungo Tre Penne
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 1 23
Draws 4 6
Losses 24 2
Goals Scored 0.79 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.45 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Penne
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Cailungo
6:1
Dec 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Penne
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Cailungo
2:1
Oct 22, 2024 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Cailungo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cailungo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Tre Penne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceccaroli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cailungo 10 / 100
Tre Penne 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cailungo Tre Penne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cailungo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Tre Penne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Cailungo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cailungo VS Tre Penne
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cailungo

(Home)
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
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Tre Penne

(Away)
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4
Tre Penne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
4 Tre Penne 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
11 San Giovanni 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
14 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
15 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
16 Cailungo 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)