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Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2017
Cajazeiras Logo

Cajazeiras

1 - 1
FT
Alagoinhas Logo

Alagoinhas

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2017 game between Cajazeiras and Alagoinhas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cajazeiras
35%
Draws
19%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cajazeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cajazeiras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cajazeiras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 20%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajazeiras Alagoinhas
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 4
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.4 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Cajazeiras
1:1
May 19, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
0:0
May 12, 2018 Baiano 2
Alagoinhas vs Cajazeiras
0:0
Mar 10, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
2:3
Jun 3, 2017 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Alagoinhas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajazeiras 85 / 100
Alagoinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajazeiras Alagoinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cajazeiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajazeiras found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Alagoinhas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Cajazeiras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alagoinhas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajazeiras

(Home)
12 May
Cajazeiras
0 : 0
UNIRB
05 May
Canaa EC
2 : 2
Cajazeiras
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
21 Apr
Cajazeiras
1 : 3
Doce Mel
14 Apr
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Galicia
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Alagoinhas

(Away)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 10 6 3 1 15:3 21
2 Cajazeiras 10 4 6 0 14:9 18
3 Alagoinhas 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
4 Colo Colo 10 4 3 3 13:15 15
5 Teixeira de Freitas 10 3 3 4 12:17 12
6 EC Ypiranga 10 0 0 10 0:10 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2017 (Play Offs)