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Cajazeiras vs Galicia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2018
Cajazeiras Logo

Cajazeiras

1 - 0
FT
Galicia Logo

Galicia

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cajazeiras in this Baiano 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cajazeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cajazeiras
20%
Draws
44%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cajazeiras lately — more wins on the board than Galicia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cajazeiras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cajazeiras have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 12%
Galicia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cajazeiras Galicia
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Galicia
4:0
Apr 6, 2019 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Cajazeiras
1:2
Apr 14, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Galicia
1:0
Apr 7, 2018 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Cajazeiras
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cajazeiras 65 / 100
Galicia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cajazeiras Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cajazeiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajazeiras scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Galicia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Cajazeiras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galicia
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cajazeiras

(Home)
12 May
Cajazeiras
0 : 0
UNIRB
05 May
Canaa EC
2 : 2
Cajazeiras
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
21 Apr
Cajazeiras
1 : 3
Doce Mel
14 Apr
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Galicia
Page 1 of 6

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alagoinhas 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
2 Cajazeiras 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
3 Colo Colo 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
4 Conquista FC 9 3 3 3 12:15 12
5 Teixeira de Freitas 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
6 Galicia 10 1 1 8 8:27 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2018 (Play Offs)