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Cala Pozuelo vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ferreres F.
29' Event
Ogawa M.
32' Event
Herrero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Cala Pozuelo and Alcorcon B finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cala Pozuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Cala Pozuelo
28%
Draws
50%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Alcorcon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Alcorcon B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 20%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cala Pozuelo Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Alcorcon B
4:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Cala Pozuelo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogawa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cala Pozuelo 24 / 100
Alcorcon B 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cala Pozuelo Alcorcon B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Cala Pozuelo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Alcorcon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Cala Pozuelo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcorcon B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RSD Alcala34236568:3275
2Rayo Vallecano B34187971:5261
3AD Torrejon341771055:4858
4Villaverde San Andres341412852:3754
5Galapagar341412845:4154
6CD Las Rozas341591045:4254
7Collado Villalba3414101044:3652
8Leganes B341312958:3851
9Alcorcon B341381355:5047
10Trival Valderas3412101247:4746
11Tres Cantos341291343:4445
12Mexico341191435:4942
13Carabanchel3410121230:2942
14Parla341081638:5838
15Cala Pozuelo341081642:5138
16Aravaca CF34981742:5235
17Canillas34582136:6823
18El Alamo34572229:6122