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Calamocha vs Almudevar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Calamocha and Almudevar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Calamocha
15%
Draws
32%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Calamocha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Calamocha are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calamocha Almudevar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Almudevar
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Calamocha
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Almudevar
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Calamocha
0:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Almudevar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Almudevar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calamocha 86 / 100
Almudevar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calamocha Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calamocha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calamocha scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Almudevar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Calamocha has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calamocha VS Almudevar
1 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calamocha

(Home)
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
19 Apr
CD Cuarte
0 : 0
Calamocha
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Almudevar

(Away)
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0
Almudevar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)