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Calamocha vs Almudevar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 game between Calamocha and Almudevar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Calamocha
6%
Draws
4%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Calamocha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Calamocha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calamocha Almudevar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Almudevar
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Calamocha
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Almudevar
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Calamocha
0:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Almudevar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Almudevar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calamocha 95 / 100
Almudevar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calamocha Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calamocha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Calamocha's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Almudevar let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Calamocha VS Almudevar
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calamocha

(Home)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
19 Apr
CD Cuarte
0 : 0
Calamocha
12 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
CF Illueca
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Almudevar

(Away)
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0
Almudevar
12 Apr
Almudevar
1 : 0
Binefar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Calamocha34236549:2275
2CD Cuarte342014043:1274
3Atletico Monzon34234773:3773
4Epila341910539:2067
5CD Caspe341314738:2653
6Huesca B3414101052:3352
7Binefar341461458:4748
8La Almunia341114942:3847
9Almudevar341281434:3944
10Tamarite3410111341:4741
11Andorra CF341091535:4539
12CF Illueca349111435:5138
13Robres341061838:4936
14CD Belchite 97347111628:4332
15CD Carinena345161335:4631
16UD Casetas346121640:5630
17Utrillas345141536:5729
18Zuera342102217:6516
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 (Play Offs)