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Calamocha vs CF Illueca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

Calamocha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Calamocha
15%
Draws
21%
CF Illueca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Calamocha have won more games recently than CF Illueca.
  • Model gives Calamocha a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 20%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calamocha CF Illueca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs CF Illueca
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Calamocha
2:4
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs CF Illueca
2:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs Calamocha
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs CF Illueca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CF Illueca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calamocha 67 / 100
CF Illueca 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calamocha CF Illueca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calamocha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Illueca has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Calamocha found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Calamocha stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calamocha VS CF Illueca
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calamocha

(Home)
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
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CF Illueca

(Away)
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CF Illueca
2 : 3
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)