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Calarasi vs Popesti Leordeni

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calarasi play Popesti Leordeni in the Liga 3 - Seria 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Calarasi averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Popesti Leordeni averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Calarasi won 1, Popesti Leordeni won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Calarasi and 2.56 for Popesti Leordeni. This points to a Popesti Leordeni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Calarasi
27%
Draws
43%
Popesti Leordeni
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Popesti Leordeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Calarasi picked up more points recently compared to Popesti Leordeni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 10%
Popesti Leordeni Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Popesti Leordeni
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 21
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.57 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Popesti Leordeni
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Popesti Leordeni vs Calarasi
0:0
May 16, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Popesti Leordeni
0:6
Apr 26, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Popesti Leordeni vs Calarasi
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Popesti Leordeni
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 29 / 100
Popesti Leordeni 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Popesti Leordeni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Popesti Leordeni or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Calarasi attacking → ← attacking Popesti Leordeni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calarasi scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Popesti Leordeni let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Calarasi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Popesti Leordeni lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 70
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Agricola Borcea22153451:2748
2Popesti Leordeni22136347:1745
3Inainte Modelu22143551:2645
4Calarasi22124637:3040
5FCSB 222123752:3339
6Progresul Fundulea221011138:3031
7Gloria Baneasa22921144:4729
8Recolta Gheorghe Doja22901333:4427
9Axiopolis Cernavoda22721331:4423
10Agigea22721326:5223
11Din. Bucuresti 222611532:5219
12Voluntari 222331626:6612