Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calarasi host Progresul Fundulea in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Calarasi have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Progresul Fundulea's 2.1 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Calarasi have won 2 to Progresul Fundulea's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.94) point toward Progresul Fundulea. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Calarasi
15%
Draws
54%
Progresul Fundulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Fundulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Calarasi haven't matched Progresul Fundulea's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Progresul Fundulea taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Progresul Fundulea
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 8 1
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.57 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 10 / 100
Progresul Fundulea 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Progresul Fundulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Fundulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Calarasi scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Progresul Fundulea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Calarasi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calarasi VS Progresul Fundulea
1.25 Goals Scored 3
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Calarasi

(Home)
12 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 3
Afumati
05 Aug
Calarasi
2 : 0
Inainte Modelu
29 Jul
Gloria Baneasa
1 : 3
Calarasi
10 Jul
Metalul Buzau
0 : 0
Calarasi
22 May
Calarasi
2 : 7
Flacara Moreni
Page 1 of 7

Progresul Fundulea

(Away)
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
16 May
Agigea
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
09 May
Progresul Fundulea
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
02 May
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 6
Progresul Fundulea
25 Apr
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portul Constanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Calarasi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Otelul 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sporting Liesti 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Inainte Modelu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Axiopolis Cernavoda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Agricola Borcea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Gloria Baneasa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Unirea Branistea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Progresul Fundulea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Agigea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)