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Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
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AI Match Summary

Progresul Fundulea in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Fundulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Calarasi
15%
Draws
40%
Progresul Fundulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calarasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Calarasi haven't matched Progresul Fundulea's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 11%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Progresul Fundulea
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.35 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 30 / 100
Progresul Fundulea 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Progresul Fundulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Calarasi scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Progresul Fundulea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Calarasi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calarasi VS Progresul Fundulea
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Calarasi

(Home)
09 Oct
Inainte Modelu
2 : 0
Calarasi
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 2
Calarasi
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
0 : 2
Calarasi
Page 1 of 7

Progresul Fundulea

(Away)
10 Oct
Sporting Liesti
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
03 Oct
Progresul Fundulea
2 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
26 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
23 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda
19 Sept
Unirea Branistea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 8 7 0 1 27:9 21
2 Inainte Modelu 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Progresul Fundulea 8 5 0 3 18:12 15
4 Agigea 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Axiopolis Cernavoda 8 4 1 3 16:15 13
6 Sporting Liesti 8 4 0 4 24:18 12
7 Unirea Branistea 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 8 4 0 4 14:16 12
9 Calarasi 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
10 Gloria Baneasa 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
11 Otelul 2 8 1 1 6 8:22 4
12 Portul Constanta 8 1 0 7 11:26 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)