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Calarasi vs Stoicescu Buzau

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2010/2011 Stadionul Ion Comsa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calarasi play Stoicescu Buzau in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2010/2011. Calarasi are favorites here. Recently, Calarasi averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Stoicescu Buzau averaged 0.82 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. In past meetings, Calarasi won 1, Stoicescu Buzau won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 4, 2011 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Calarasi and 1.06 for Stoicescu Buzau. This points to a Calarasi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Calarasi
16%
Draws
16%
Stoicescu Buzau
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Calarasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Calarasi picked up more points recently compared to Stoicescu Buzau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 22%
Stoicescu Buzau Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calarasi Stoicescu Buzau
Matches Played 41 34
Wins 23 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 2.07 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Calarasi vs Stoicescu Buzau
1:1
Aug 27, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Stoicescu Buzau vs Calarasi
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calarasi 66 / 100
Stoicescu Buzau 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calarasi Stoicescu Buzau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calarasi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Calarasi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Calarasi attacking → ← attacking Stoicescu Buzau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calarasi scored in 85% of their last 41 games.

Stoicescu Buzau let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Calarasi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Stoicescu Buzau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 19
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Callatis Mangalia28215264:1568
2Unirea Slobozia28214375:2967
3Berceni28164848:2952
4Calarasi28155850:3450
5Rapid Bucuresti 2281351045:2744
6Voluntari281110733:2643
7Tunari281061249:5236
8CSM Ramnicu Sarat281061229:3636
9LPS HD Clinceni281061242:4836
10Mostistea Ulmu281061233:3936
11Comprest287111028:4132
12Eforie281021630:4932
13Partizanul Merei28731836:6424
14Spicul Bucuresti28651735:5623
15Stoicescu Buzau28322322:7411