Sport Picks
Calasancio vs Alfaro Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 
Match Events
19'
19'
Gazzoni F.
22'
22'
Fernandez Sainz A.
43'
43'
Rodriguez J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Calasancio and Alfaro finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alfaro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alfaro come out ahead of Calasancio on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 68%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Calasancio | Alfaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Alfaro
2:2
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Calasancio
4:0
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Alfaro
1:2
Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Calasancio
0:1
Aug 26, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Alfaro
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Calasancio Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Alfaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Gazzoni F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez Sainz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Calasancio 41 / 100
Alfaro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Calasancio Alfaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Calasancio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alfaro has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Calasancio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Calasancio scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Calasancio VS Alfaro
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.2 Goals Conceded 2.13
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Calasancio
(Home) 27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0 Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0 Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3 Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
06 Jun
Calasancio
1 : 1 Agoncillo
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0 Anguiano
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
06 Jun
Calasancio
1 : 1 Agoncillo
23 May
Calasancio
2 : 0 Villegas
09 May
Calasancio
0 : 4 Vianes
Page 1 of 3
Alfaro
(Away) 27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2 Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2 Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1 Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4 Tudelano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2 Alfaro
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2 Alfaro
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0 Alfaro
12 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1 Alfaro
29 Mar
Basconia
6 : 4 Alfaro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 2 | CD Calahorra | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Berceo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 4 | CDFC La Calzada | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Pradejon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Alfaro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Varea | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 5 |
| 9 | Cenicero | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Anguiano | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 12 | Comillas CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 13 | Oyonesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Yague | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Casalarreina CF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | 3 |
| 16 | River Ebro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Calasancio | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Vianes | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)
