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Calasancio vs Berceo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Penalty Missed
88' Event
Morte A.

AI Match Summary

Berceo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Calasancio
15%
Draws
51%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Berceo lately — more wins on the board than Calasancio.
  • Berceo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 10%
Berceo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasancio Berceo
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 5 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.72 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Berceo
0:1
May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Calasancio
4:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Berceo
0:1
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Calasancio
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Berceo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calasancio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Morte A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasancio 26 / 100
Berceo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasancio Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berceo let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Calasancio scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Calasancio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calasancio VS Berceo
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasancio

(Home)
31 Oct
Calasancio
0 : 1
Berceo
25 Oct
Comillas CF
0 : 2
Calasancio
18 Oct
Calasancio
0 : 1
Varea
11 Oct
Vianes
4 : 0
Calasancio
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
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Berceo

(Away)
31 Oct
Calasancio
0 : 1
Berceo
25 Oct
Berceo
1 : 3
Agoncillo
18 Oct
Oyonesa
2 : 0
Berceo
11 Oct
Berceo
5 : 1
CDFC La Calzada
04 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2
Berceo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 9 7 1 1 22:13 22
2 CDFC La Calzada 9 7 0 2 15:11 21
3 Alfaro 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 CD Calahorra 9 6 0 3 26:10 18
5 Berceo 9 6 0 3 21:11 18
6 Anguiano 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
7 Varea 9 4 4 1 8:5 16
8 Agoncillo 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
9 San Marcial 9 4 3 2 12:7 15
10 Oyonesa 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
11 Pradejon 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
12 Yague 9 3 0 6 9:19 9
13 Calasancio 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
14 River Ebro 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
15 Comillas CF 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
16 Cenicero 9 1 2 6 8:16 5
17 Vianes 9 1 1 7 10:17 4
18 Casalarreina CF 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)