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Calasancio vs Varea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calasancio host Varea in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Varea have shipped 0.68 goals a game lately, while Calasancio have conceded 2.11 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Varea slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.23, favoring Varea. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Calasancio
35%
Draws
38%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varea come out ahead of Calasancio on wins alone.
  • Varea are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Varea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 20%
Varea Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasancio Varea
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 5 20
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Varea
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Calasancio
5:1
May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Varea
1:4
Dec 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Calasancio
7:1
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Varea
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasancio 24 / 100
Varea 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasancio Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Calasancio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Calasancio scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Varea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Calasancio VS Varea
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 13%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasancio

(Home)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

Varea

(Away)
04 Oct
Oyonesa
1 : 1
Varea
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Anguiano 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
9 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
10 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
11 Yague 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
12 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)