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Calasanz de Soria vs Palencia CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calasanz de Soria host Palencia CF in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. Little to choose between these two on current form. Palencia CF have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Calasanz de Soria have conceded 1.8 and scored 1.4. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.52, favoring Palencia CF. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Calasanz de Soria
20%
Draws
40%
Palencia CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Calasanz de Soria haven't matched Palencia CF's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Calasanz de Soria Clean Sheet 15%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasanz de Soria Palencia CF
Matches Played 5 32
Wins 2 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasanz de Soria 31 / 100
Palencia CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasanz de Soria Palencia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calasanz de Soria found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).

Defensive concern: Palencia CF conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Calasanz de Soria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Palencia CF's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Calasanz de Soria VS Palencia CF
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasanz de Soria

(Home)
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
19 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
3 : 2
Unionistas de Salamanca B
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1
Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo

Palencia CF

(Away)
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)