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Calasparra FC vs FC Puente Tocinos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between Calasparra FC and FC Puente Tocinos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Puente Tocinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Calasparra FC
11%
Draws
80%
FC Puente Tocinos
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Puente Tocinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Calasparra FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Puente Tocinos are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 11%
FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasparra FC FC Puente Tocinos
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs FC Puente Tocinos
2:2
Dec 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Calasparra FC
1:5
Feb 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs FC Puente Tocinos
1:3
Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs Calasparra FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasparra FC 10 / 100
FC Puente Tocinos 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasparra FC FC Puente Tocinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Puente Tocinos conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Calasparra FC scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Calasparra FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calasparra FC VS FC Puente Tocinos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasparra FC

(Home)
15 May
Pinatar
4 : 3
Calasparra FC
08 May
Calasparra FC
1 : 1
Cartagena FC UCAM
01 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Calasparra FC
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
UCAM Murcia
6 : 0
Calasparra FC
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FC Puente Tocinos

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Lorca FC
5 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
01 May
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 1
Club Edeco Fortuna
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2
Cartagena La Union
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)