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Calasparra FC vs Lorca Deportiva II

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 game between Calasparra FC and Lorca Deportiva II finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca Deportiva II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Calasparra FC
6%
Draws
90%
Lorca Deportiva II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lorca Deportiva II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calasparra FC come out ahead of Lorca Deportiva II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lorca Deportiva II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 14%
Lorca Deportiva II Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calasparra FC Lorca Deportiva II
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Lorca Deportiva II
0:4
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Calasparra FC
1:1
Mar 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Lorca Deportiva II
1:0
Oct 21, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva II vs Calasparra FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calasparra FC 10 / 100
Lorca Deportiva II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calasparra FC Lorca Deportiva II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorca Deportiva II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Calasparra FC scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Calasparra FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calasparra FC VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calasparra FC

(Home)
15 May
Pinatar
4 : 3
Calasparra FC
08 May
Calasparra FC
1 : 1
Cartagena FC UCAM
01 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Calasparra FC
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
UCAM Murcia
6 : 0
Calasparra FC
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Lorca Deportiva II

(Away)
16 May
Deportivo Murcia
0 : 0
Lorca Deportiva II
09 May
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
CD Lumbreras
02 May
Moratalla
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
26 Apr
Lorca Deportiva II
1 : 2
Mazarron CF
19 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Lorca Deportiva II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caravaca382765115:2687
2Moratalla38258582:3283
3Cartagena La Union382311476:2780
4Yeclano38248683:3780
5Pinatar38219877:3772
6Mazarron CF381910981:4667
7Ciudad Cieza381614877:4562
8Futbol Club Jumilla381614863:3562
9Beniel3815111239:3256
10Santomera3813101551:6649
11CA Pulpileno381371850:6746
12Deportivo Murcia381291759:5645
13Lorca Deportiva II389151449:5442
14Bala Azul381242252:8640
15Plus Ultra3810101843:6440
16Calasparra FC389131643:6040
17CD Lumbreras38862441:9030
18Pozo Estrecho38862440:8830
19Muleno CF384112333:8523
20Ciudad Lorca38423232:1539
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)