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Calcio Avola vs USD Ragusa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Galesio L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Calcio Avola in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calcio Avola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Calcio Avola
15%
Draws
8%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calcio Avola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • USD Ragusa have won more games recently than Calcio Avola.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Calcio Avola Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Avola USD Ragusa
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 0 11
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.29 0.86
Goals Conceded 2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Calcio Avola vs USD Ragusa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Avola 41 / 100
USD Ragusa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Avola USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Avola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calcio Avola found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

USD Ragusa let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Calcio Avola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: USD Ragusa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Avola VS USD Ragusa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Avola

(Home)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
Castrumfavara
0 : 1
Calcio Avola
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 2

USD Ragusa

(Away)
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)