Sport Picks
Calcio Chieti vs AS Sora Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti 
Match Events
28'
28'
Curatolo D.
40'
40'
Bolo F.
59'
59'
Leo Pettenon
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Calcio Chieti and AS Sora finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calcio Chieti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calcio Chieti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AS Sora come out ahead of Calcio Chieti on wins alone.
- Model gives Calcio Chieti a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 20%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Calcio Chieti | AS Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs AS Sora
3:2
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Calcio Chieti
3:3
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs AS Sora
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Calcio Chieti
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs AS Sora
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Calcio Chieti Compare
Top Goalscorer Leo Pettenon
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Pardo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
AS Sora Compare
Top Goalscorer Curatolo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bolo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Calcio Chieti 42 / 100
AS Sora 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Calcio Chieti AS Sora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
AS Sora let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Calcio Chieti remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Calcio Chieti found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Calcio Chieti VS AS Sora
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Calcio Chieti
(Home) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
29 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Recanatese
15 Mar
Calcio Chieti
1 : 1 San Marino Calcio
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AS Sora
(Away) 03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1 Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0 AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 AS Sora
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0 AS Sora
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 AS Sora
22 Mar
Ancona
1 : 1 AS Sora
01 Mar
Aquila Calcio
2 : 3 AS Sora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
