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Calcio Chieti vs Jesina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Franchi F.
64' Event
Barchiesi L.
68' Event
Villanova M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between Calcio Chieti and Jesina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calcio Chieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Calcio Chieti
20%
Draws
7%
Jesina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Calcio Chieti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Calcio Chieti's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 16%
Jesina Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Jesina
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Calcio Chieti
0:0
Dec 7, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Jesina
3:2
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Calcio Chieti
0:0
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Jesina
0:1
May 8, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Jesina
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Franchi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ricci D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Jesina Compare

Top Goalscorer Barchiesi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villanova M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 41 / 100
Jesina 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Jesina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jesina conceded in 95% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Calcio Chieti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Jesina registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Chieti

(Home)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0
Calcio Chieti
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Jesina

(Away)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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