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Stadium Background

Calcio Chieti vs Maceratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Ela N.

AI Match Summary

Calcio Chieti in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calcio Chieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Calcio Chieti
30%
Draws
23%
Maceratese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maceratese lately — more wins on the board than Calcio Chieti.
  • Win probability leans Calcio Chieti's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 19%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Maceratese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Maceratese
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Calcio Chieti
4:0
Mar 29, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Calcio Chieti
1:1
Nov 16, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Maceratese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Ela N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Maceratese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 49 / 100
Maceratese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Maceratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Chieti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maceratese conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Calcio Chieti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Calcio Chieti's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS Maceratese
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Chieti

(Home)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0
Calcio Chieti
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Maceratese

(Away)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1
Giulianova
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0
Maceratese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2
Maceratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)