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Stadium Background

Calcio Chieti vs Roma City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 Stadio Guido Angelini
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calcio Chieti play Roma City in the Serie D - Group F 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Calcio Chieti averaged 1 goals scored and 1.51 conceded. Roma City averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Calcio Chieti won 4, Roma City won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Calcio Chieti and 1.50 for Roma City. This points to a Calcio Chieti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Calcio Chieti
18%
Draws
32%
Roma City
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Calcio Chieti picked up more points recently compared to Roma City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 16%
Roma City Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Roma City
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.51 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Roma City
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Calcio Chieti
1:2
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Roma City
0:1
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Calcio Chieti
0:1
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Roma City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuthaj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Roma City Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 48 / 100
Roma City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Roma City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Calcio Chieti or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Calcio Chieti attacking → ← attacking Roma City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calcio Chieti scored in 60% of their last 35 games.

Roma City let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Calcio Chieti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Roma City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 30
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sambenedettese34219461:2172
2Aquila Calcio341711648:3162
3Teramo34179851:3360
4Calcio Chieti341611752:3958
5Fossombrone341214844:3650
6Ancona341381335:4047
7Avezzano341371441:4346
8Castelfidardo341291339:3445
9Atletico Ascoli3410131135:3943
10Vigor Senigallia349151036:3842
11Termoli349141137:4441
12Recanatese3410101442:5340
13AS Sora349131232:3940
14Notaresco Calcio341081637:4538
15Civitanovese Calcio348131331:3937
16Roma City348111532:3635
17Isernia348101632:5734
18Fermana346111724:4227