Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Calcio Chieti vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Stadio Guido Angelini, Chieti
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Gonzalez S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Calcio Chieti and Termoli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calcio Chieti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Calcio Chieti
30%
Draws
23%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Calcio Chieti's 0.79 goals per match outpaces what Termoli have produced (0.6).
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 68%
Termoli Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Termoli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.79 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Termoli
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Calcio Chieti
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Calcio Chieti
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Termoli
3:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Termoli
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Termoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 41 / 100
Termoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Chieti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Calcio Chieti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Calcio Chieti scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS Termoli
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
43% Over 1.5 25%
43% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Chieti

(Home)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0
Calcio Chieti
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Termoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)