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Calcio Chieti vs Vigor Senigallia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F Stadio Guido Angelini
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
De Feo G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Calcio Chieti and Vigor Senigallia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vigor Senigallia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Calcio Chieti
39%
Draws
31%
Vigor Senigallia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigor Senigallia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 68%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Chieti Vigor Senigallia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Calcio Chieti
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Vigor Senigallia
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Vigor Senigallia
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Calcio Chieti
2:3
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Calcio Chieti
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Calcio Chieti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Top Goalscorer De Feo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Chieti 41 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Chieti Vigor Senigallia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vigor Senigallia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Calcio Chieti remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Calcio Chieti scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Calcio Chieti VS Vigor Senigallia
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ostiamare34247365:2579
2Ancona34237459:2276
3Teramo342111265:2974
4Atletico Ascoli341413755:3555
5Notaresco Calcio341312943:3151
6Aquila Calcio341491153:4451
7Giulianova341116740:3149
8Vigor Senigallia341213945:4049
9Fossombrone3411111228:3444
10Unipomezia3410121243:4242
11Termoli348151127:3039
12Maceratese341151843:4938
13AS Sora349111440:5038
14Recanatese34881839:5732
15San Marino Calcio34871933:6131
16Calcio Chieti348111531:5524
17Castelfidardo34652330:6523
18Sammaurese34572230:6920