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Calcio Derthona vs Olginatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Calcio Derthona and Olginatese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Calcio Derthona
35%
Draws
40%
Olginatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olginatese come out ahead of Calcio Derthona on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Calcio Derthona Clean Sheet 20%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Derthona Olginatese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.63 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Calcio Derthona vs Olginatese
1:1
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Olginatese vs Calcio Derthona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Derthona 32 / 100
Olginatese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Derthona Olginatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olginatese conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Calcio Derthona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Calcio Derthona scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Olginatese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Derthona

(Home)
06 May
Bra
1 : 2
Calcio Derthona
29 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 1
Olginatese
22 Apr
Gozzano
6 : 1
Calcio Derthona
15 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 3
Inveruno
08 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1
Calcio Derthona
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Olginatese

(Away)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)