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Calcio Derthona vs Pro Sesto

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Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
13' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Calcio Derthona and Pro Sesto finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Calcio Derthona
20%
Draws
56%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pro Sesto come out ahead of Calcio Derthona on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pro Sesto a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Calcio Derthona Clean Sheet 19%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Calcio Derthona Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Calcio Derthona vs Pro Sesto
0:4
Sep 13, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Pro Sesto vs Calcio Derthona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Calcio Derthona 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Calcio Derthona Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Calcio Derthona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Calcio Derthona's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pro Sesto conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pro Sesto
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Calcio Derthona

(Home)
06 May
Bra
1 : 2
Calcio Derthona
29 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 1
Olginatese
22 Apr
Gozzano
6 : 1
Calcio Derthona
15 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 3
Inveruno
08 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1
Calcio Derthona
Page 1 of 6

Pro Sesto

(Away)
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)