Sport Picks

Brazil

Goiano 2 2016

Novo Horizonte

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caldas EC play Novo Horizonte in the Goiano 2 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Caldas EC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Novo Horizonte averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Caldas EC won 0, Novo Horizonte won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 28, 2016 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Caldas EC and 1.11 for Novo Horizonte. This points to a Novo Horizonte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Caldas EC

35%

Draws

50%

Novo Horizonte

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novo Horizonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Caldas EC picked up more points recently compared to Novo Horizonte.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Caldas EC Clean Sheet 21%

Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caldas EC	Novo Horizonte
Matches Played	6	36
Wins	0	13
Draws	3	12
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	1	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2016 Goiano 2

Caldas EC vs Novo Horizonte

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Jul 24, 2016 Goiano 2

Novo Horizonte vs Caldas EC

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas EC 18 / 100

Novo Horizonte 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caldas EC Novo Horizonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Novo Horizonte or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caldas EC attacking → ← attacking Novo Horizonte

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldas EC scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Novo Horizonte let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Caldas EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Novo Horizonte lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 51

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Novo Horizonte	6	3	1	2	12:7	10
2	Gremio Anapolis	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	America GO	6	3	1	2	8:9	10
4	Caldas EC	6	0	3	3	6:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rio Verde	8	6	2	0	22:4	20
2	Ipora	8	4	2	2	13:9	14
3	Goiania	8	3	2	3	11:12	11
4	Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)	8	2	0	6	6:15	6
5	Santa Helena	8	2	0	6	9:21	6