Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldas SC vs Amora

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Neves Santos P. M. In: Valencia Y. M.
Out: Neves Santos P. M.
25' Event
Oliveira J.
Assist: Antunes M.
45'
Diego

AI Match Summary

Amora in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Caldas SC
20%
Draws
51%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caldas SC have won more games recently than Amora.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Amora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 19%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldas SC Amora
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Amora
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Amora
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldas SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ewandro Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Amora Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antunes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas SC 28 / 100
Amora 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldas SC Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldas SC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Amora let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Caldas SC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caldas SC VS Amora
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

(Home)
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
08 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Caldas SC
01 Aug
Caldas SC
3 : 2
Academica
Page 1 of 7

Amora

(Away)
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Lusitano GC
19 Apr
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Amora
12 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Caldas SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 18 8 5 5 20:16 29
2 Amarante FC 18 8 5 5 19:17 29
3 Trofense 18 7 7 4 23:15 28
4 Varzim 18 7 7 4 26:17 28
5 Paredes 18 6 9 3 22:12 27
6 Braga B 18 6 7 5 16:17 25
7 AD Fafe 18 6 6 6 23:21 24
8 AD Marco 09 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 Sao Joao de Ver 18 2 8 8 11:26 14
10 Sanjoanense 18 2 7 9 20:32 13
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 18 12 2 4 27:16 38
2 Mafra 18 9 7 2 28:19 34
3 Academica 18 7 7 4 29:18 28
4 Santarem 18 6 7 5 15:14 25
5 Atletico CP 18 6 4 8 16:17 22
6 Lusitano GC 18 6 4 8 19:19 22
7 Amora 18 5 6 7 19:22 21
8 Caldas SC 18 6 3 9 17:23 21
9 1º Dezembro 18 3 8 7 13:21 17
10 Covilha 18 2 8 8 10:24 14
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)