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Caldas SC vs Louletano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
Caldas SC Logo

Caldas SC

2 - 4
FT
Louletano Logo

Louletano

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Teixeira G.
26'
Goncas
30'
Oliveira F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Caldas SC and Louletano finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Caldas SC
20%
Draws
23%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Louletano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caldas SC a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 68%
Louletano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldas SC Louletano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Louletano
2:4
Apr 19, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Caldas SC vs Louletano
1:1
Feb 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Louletano vs Caldas SC
1:1
Mar 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Louletano vs Caldas SC
0:0
Oct 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Caldas SC vs Louletano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldas SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mucuana Lobo E. J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van der Gaag L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas SC 59 / 100
Louletano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldas SC Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldas SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldas SC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Louletano let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Caldas SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caldas SC VS Louletano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

(Home)
01 Nov
Covilha
0 : 1
Caldas SC
24 Oct
Caldas SC
3 : 3
Mafra
11 Oct
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Caldas SC
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
Page 1 of 6

Louletano

(Away)
31 Oct
Mafra
2 : 1
Louletano
25 Oct
Louletano
2 : 2
Atletico CP
17 Oct
Louletano
0 : 1
Rio Ave
10 Oct
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Louletano
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
2 AD Marco 09 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
3 AD Fafe 8 3 4 1 13:7 13
4 Leca 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 SC Vianense 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
6 Vitoria Guimaraes B 8 2 3 3 10:10 9
7 Sao Joao de Ver 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
8 Varzim 8 3 0 5 11:13 9
9 Pacos Ferreira 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
10 Trofense 8 1 2 5 4:15 5
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 8 6 2 0 18:6 20
2 Atletico CP 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Mafra 8 3 3 2 16:11 12
4 Caldas SC 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 Oliveirense 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
6 Santarem 8 3 1 4 9:14 10
7 Louletano 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
8 Covilha 8 1 4 3 5:8 7
9 Vitoria Sernache 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
10 Lusitano GC 8 1 3 4 6:11 6
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)