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Caldas SC vs Mafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caldas SC host Mafra in the Liga 3. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Caldas SC at 0.9 goals for, 1.38 against; Mafra at 1.55 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Caldas SC have won 0 to Mafra's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 3, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.50) point toward Mafra. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Caldas SC
15%
Draws
48%
Mafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Caldas SC haven't matched Mafra's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 16%
Mafra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldas SC Mafra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 Liga 3
Mafra vs Caldas SC
4:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Mafra
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Caldas SC vs Mafra
0:2
Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Caldas SC vs Mafra
2:2
Oct 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Mafra vs Caldas SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas SC 31 / 100
Mafra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldas SC Mafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldas SC's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mafra conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Caldas SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caldas SC VS Mafra
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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Mafra

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
5 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)