Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caldas SC vs Oliveirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caldas SC host Oliveirense in the Liga 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Caldas SC have averaged 1 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Oliveirense's 1.17 scored and 1.55 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.69, favoring Caldas SC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Caldas SC
30%
Draws
23%
Oliveirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Caldas SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caldas SC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 13%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldas SC Oliveirense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldas SC 39 / 100
Oliveirense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldas SC Oliveirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldas SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldas SC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Oliveirense has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Caldas SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Oliveirense registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldas SC VS Oliveirense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldas SC

(Home)
01 Nov
Covilha
0 : 1
Caldas SC
24 Oct
Caldas SC
3 : 3
Mafra
11 Oct
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Caldas SC
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
Page 1 of 6

Oliveirense

(Away)
31 Oct
Oliveirense
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
24 Oct
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Oliveirense
10 Oct
Covilha
0 : 0
Oliveirense
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
2 AD Marco 09 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
3 AD Fafe 8 3 4 1 13:7 13
4 Leca 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
5 SC Vianense 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
6 Vitoria Guimaraes B 8 2 3 3 10:10 9
7 Sao Joao de Ver 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
8 Varzim 8 3 0 5 11:13 9
9 Pacos Ferreira 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
10 Trofense 8 1 2 5 4:15 5
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 8 6 2 0 18:6 20
2 Atletico CP 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Mafra 8 3 3 2 16:11 12
4 Caldas SC 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
5 Oliveirense 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
6 Santarem 8 3 1 4 9:14 10
7 Louletano 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
8 Covilha 8 1 4 3 5:8 7
9 Vitoria Sernache 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
10 Lusitano GC 8 1 3 4 6:11 6
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)