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Caldense vs Boa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Caldense Logo

Caldense

1 - 0
FT
Boa Logo

Boa

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Henrique J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caldense in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caldense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caldense
15%
Draws
85%
Boa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Boa have won more games recently than Caldense.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Boa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Caldense Clean Sheet 26%
Boa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldense Boa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 13
Draws 13 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Caldense
3:1
Jun 7, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Boa
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Caldense
1:1
May 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Boa
0:0
Aug 21, 2021 Serie D
Caldense vs Boa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Boa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldense 21 / 100
Boa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldense Boa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boa conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Caldense scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Boa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caldense VS Boa
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldense

(Home)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

Boa

(Away)
26 Jul
Boa
1 : 1
Aymores
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)