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Caldense vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Henan
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

URT in this Mineiro 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caldense
15%
Draws
85%
URT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to URT lately — more wins on the board than Caldense.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on URT taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and URT have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Caldense Clean Sheet 21%
URT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caldense URT
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 13 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.7 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs URT
0:1
May 10, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Caldense
2:0
Jun 16, 2024 Mineiro 2
URT vs Caldense
3:2
May 11, 2024 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs URT
0:1
Jun 18, 2022 Serie D
URT vs Caldense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caldense 29 / 100
URT 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caldense URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: URT has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Caldense scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: URT conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Caldense VS URT
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caldense

(Home)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)